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Population Estimates (People & Neighbourhoods)

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SINe People & Neighbourhoods
Each year, the Office for National Statistics publishes ‘mid-year estimates’ of populations at national and sub-national levels. These are based on actual 2001 Census data, updated to allow for subsequent birth rates, death rates and estimated migration patterns using sources such as regional birth and mortality records, the International Passenger Survey (IPS) and National Asylum Support Service  for international migration, Labour Force Survey and the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR, for internal migration).

In addition to the information below, you can now get population figures from our INFORM Somerset website. The population topic lets you view maps and tables of data on population numbers, age, gender and ethnic breakdowns. You can also download data and associated reports by expanding the tab at the bottom of this page.

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Population Estimates for Somerset Districts
Population estimates are calculated using a ‘top down’ approach. The national estimates for England and Wales are produced first; estimates for sub-national areas (region, local authority, ward, etc) are then produced and constrained to the national estimates. Further details of the methods used for population estimates are available on the National Statistics website.

It is difficult to say for sure how accurate or inaccurate they are. However, migration data, particularly international, are relatively unreliable at local levels because IPS samples are very small at small geography levels, requiring combining of areas and time periods.

Therefore, for very local geographies, we use local GP registration data to improve the accuracy of the estimates, but the figures are constrained to match the most recent ONS mid-year estimates (currently 2009) at district and county levels in terms of overall population as well as 5-year age bands. 

Click below to download data and associated reports.